Never Trust A Junkie: Week 11 Picks Against The Spread

After a slow, dismal start, I am slowly pulling myself out of the deep hole I found myself in just a few short weeks ago. For the first time all season I am back to .500 and I have no intention of falling back below the line of mediocrity.

As for Freddie, he actually got off to a blazing start, only to cool off and fall below .500 himself. However, he is just one good week from pulling himself back out as well.

No Clemson this week, as the Tigers are licking their wounds and trying to get healthy after falling 47-40 in heartbreaking fashion last week in South Bend. Although, it still took Notre Dame’s best game to beat a severely undermanned Clemson team, and it took them two overtimes to do it. I have a feeling the Tigers will be just fine.

Anyways, onto this weeks games…..

Week 10 Results:

CJ: 3-1

Freddie: 2-2

Season Standings:

CJ: 16-16 (50%)

Freddie: 9-11 (45%)

Week 11:

#9 Miami at Virginia Tech (-2)

CJ: Something stinks here. How in the world is Va Tech favored in this game? Didn’t they just lose to Liberty? Didn’t they lose to Wake? Isn’t Miami a top ten team? Sorry Mr. Vegas, you aren’t fooling me… Miami +2

Freddie: After opening 2-0, Virginia Tech is stuck in a very weird pattern this season where they have followed up every win with a loss. They don’t play well, they adjust, and things work the following week. Miami on the other hand has played well enough so far, outside of the one game against Clemson, to keep them in contention for one of the spots in the ACC championship game next month. You’d think that the Hurricanes would have the advantage in this one but Virginia Tech’s season has been just weird enough to stink it up against Liberty and then play lights out against a good but flawed Miami team. I expect this one to be a fun shootout with a whole lot of big plays, lots of running, and another great performance by the King. But in a losing effort… Virginia Tech -2

#2 Notre Dame (-13.5) at Boston College

CJ: This one is interesting. Notre Dame coming off their biggest win in two decades. Their most emotional win in two decades. Facing a quarterback with a huge chip on his shoulder when it comes to the Irish. Do not get sucked into to any of that noise though. Notre Dame has the best offensive line in college football and it will be on display in Chestnut Hill… Notre Dame -13.5

Freddie: The true definition of trap game when it comes to the Irish is simple. Boston College. In 1993, Notre Dame was 10-0 and on the way to the national championship after stopping Florida State in a legendary game in South Bend. The next week Boston College took them down 41-39. In 2002, Notre Dame was 8-0 and coming off a huge road win at Florida State. The next week Boston College beat them 14-7. This Boston College program has broken hearts before and this Eagle team is a just good enough to keep it close enough to throw a scare into the Irish, who now have a college football playoff spot on the line if they can keep on winning. However, not this time. Notre Dame’s lines will take over as the game goes on... Notre Dame -13.5

South Carolina at Ole Miss (-11)

CJ: It is the Gamecocks. I refuse to let them burn me again. The seat really warms up for Muschamp after this weekend. And yes, it can get hotter… Ole Miss -11

Freddie: The Gamecocks ground game only worked against Vanderbilt, the passing attack has been inconsistent, and absolutely nothing happened against Texas A&M with just 150 yards of total offense and a lot of boos in the loss. Nothing cures mediocre offenses like the Ole Miss defense that has only given up fewer than 400 yards once this season. This South Carolina team is desperate after two straight blowout losses but their about to have even more problems defensively against an Ole Miss attack that’s humming right along. I look for the Rebels to throw enough to keep things moving but their running game will take over early on and make it four straight games the Gamecocks give up over 260 yards on the ground. It won’t be another complete blowout but the Rebels win… Ole Miss -11

#13 Wisconsin at Michigan (-4.5)

CJ: Michigan just isn’t very good. The only thing they have going for them this weekend is the fact that Wisconsin wasn’t able to keep the momentum they had after their first game going. I honestly have no idea how this one plays out, but one thing I do know is that I have zero faith in Captain Khaki Pants and his Fightin’ Harbaughs… Wisconsin +4.5

Freddie: Two of the biggest questions coming into this one are what in the heck is Jim Harbaugh doing in Ann Arbor and the other is whether or not the Graham Mertz show is back on? After completing 20-of-21 passes with five scores against Illinois, now he gets to roll against a Michigan secondary that has allowed 665 yards through the air over their last two games. Michigan has not come out of the gate looking very good at 1-2. They usually rise up and rock when their backs are against the wall but that was supposed to happen last week against Indiana. However, this Wolverine team plays into Wisconsin’s style. The Badgers held the ball for 43:28 against Illinois and they’ll have it for at least 35 minutes in Ann Arbor. The Wisconsin running game might not be quite as good as everyone has become accustomed to but a good day from Mertz and a great day from the defense will make up for that and give the Wolverines their third loss of the year. Wisconsin +4.5

Former Clemson Tiger Terrence Oglesby has a new ACC Basketball Preview out now available for purchase. Click here to order your copy today. Use the coupon code “clemsonjunkies” for 10% of of your purchase! Also be sure to check out his weekly Let It Fly show on Facebook or Twitter!

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